Building report
Building report
Ast Spacemobile Inc · TECHNOLOGY
Traeva scores Ast Spacemobile Inc (ASTS) 73 out of 100 as of Nov 13, 2026, a rating of Favourable. Its EV / Revenue of 82.7× sits well below the 212.5× its own fundamentals predict. The score measures valuation lag, trajectory, structural quality and balance-sheet risk. It describes the present rather than forecasting a share price, and is not investment advice.
More going right than wrong across the four factors.
Valuation gap
ASTS trades at 82.7× EV / Revenue, against 212.5× implied by its own fundamentals — .
The implied multiple comes from a rolling regression of this company's own multiple against its growth, margins and returns on capital — not from a peer group. A gap below it is what this model looks for. It is not a promise the market will close it.
What drives the score
How far price has drifted from what the fundamentals support. Weighted heaviest, because finding that gap is the whole point.
Whether revenue, margins, free cash flow and returns on capital are trending up or down.
Whether the business turns revenue into cash reliably rather than occasionally.
Whether the debt load leaves room to survive a bad year.
Wall Street's average price target is $82.65. Traeva's score is computed independently of it.
The full report opens the series behind every factor, the exit boundaries, and every quarterly figure the score is built from. Signing up is free and includes three complete reports.
Open the full reportHow far the price sits from what this business has actually delivered, and then three questions that often disagree with each other — the disagreement being the useful part. Every figure is shown with the inputs behind it.
Price against its own delivered record
This company's free cash flow is negative, or its debts exceed what the cash flow supports, so there is no meaningful per-share value to compare the price against.
Growth the price assumes
What has to happen for today's price to make sense?
This company does not currently generate positive free cash flow, so no growth rate makes today's price justifiable from cash generation alone. That is common for companies investing heavily, and is not by itself a verdict — but it does mean this particular test cannot be run.
Value created per dollar reinvested
Is growth worth having?
The company earns -5.7% on invested capital against a 16.7% cost of capital — it is 22.4% short. On these figures growth consumes value rather than creating it, which is the case where a rising revenue line is not good news.
Cash yield
What do you get for your money, with no model at all?
Free cash flow is negative or unavailable, so there is no cash yield to quote.
The risk-free rate and equity risk premium are market-wide estimates, not company facts — the premium in particular is genuinely contested, with credible estimates spanning roughly 3% to 7%. The implied growth figure is sensitive to both, which is why they are shown rather than buried. Anything marked assumed means the figure could not be measured from this company's filings.
These are measurements, not forecasts or price targets. A company can require implausible growth and still rise, or look cheap on cash flow and keep falling. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.
Traeva scores Ast Spacemobile Inc (ASTS) 73 out of 100 as of Nov 13, 2026, a rating of Favourable. Its EV / Revenue of 82.7× sits well below the 212.5× its own fundamentals predict. The score measures valuation lag, trajectory, structural quality and balance-sheet risk. It describes the present rather than forecasting a share price, and is not investment advice.
Its strongest factor is valuation at 84 out of 100, and its weakest is balance-sheet strength at 50. A headline score is an average of measurements that frequently disagree, so the individual factors are more informative than the single number.
73 out of 100 places Ast Spacemobile Inc in the strongest band of Traeva's coverage. Scores above 70 indicate a company measuring well across all four factors; below 50 indicates at least one material weakness — deteriorating trajectory, thin or unstable margins, balance-sheet strain, or a price well above what the fundamentals support. The score is not a probability and not a price target.
Scores are recomputed daily. Most day-to-day movement comes from price, because fundamentals only change when the company reports — roughly once a quarter. A score that moves without an earnings release has almost always moved because the share price did, not because the business changed.
Traeva does not answer that and is not a registered investment adviser. This report is a quantitative measurement of four specific factors drawn from public filings, published as research. It does not account for anything outside the financial statements, the model can be wrong, and a valuation gap can persist for years or close because fundamentals fell to meet the price rather than the price rising.
Data as of Nov 13, 2026
Browse every company →Traeva is research tooling, not financial advice. Scores are generated from public filings by a model that can be wrong. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security.